Tuesday, 26 August 2008

Womens US Open draw

I haven't been posting previous tournaments because I have found myself struggling to find interest in posting those tournaments, I believe from now on I will only post select tournaments rather than the whole calendar as it does wear me down. So of course I had to post on the US Open (sorry for being late because I just got off a plane yesterday night).
Well isn't it refreshing to see Nadal at No.1 seed, I wonder how well he'll do, being his first Slam where he is seeded No.1 I'm predicting a semifinal possibility but I haven't seen the draw yet so I shouldn't put judgement that quickly.
Nadal's first match against Phau wasn't that clean and to be honest I think he would much rather have played an easy match to show he has got what it takes on Hard courts. He has American De Heart next, who I've never heard of and possibly Nadal will not have heard of. Troicki could be slightly. Kohlschreiber shouldn't be a problem if Nadal was to meet him. The next section sees Berdych and Karlovic leading the upset pack. I don't think Berdych is having a good enough year to cause a threat. I wouldn't right Karlovic off but I don't think Nadal would lose to him either.
James Blake's bad start to the Open could mean an opening for Mathieu or Grosjean which benefits Nalbandian or Monfils the most, however Blake is still a strong candidate to take on Nadal. Nalbandian doesn't have the best of results in the US and on top of that his year isn't going greatly either but Nalbandian does normally produce his best tennis towards the end of the year. But all in all this should make for easy pickings for Nadal.
Sadly Monaco lost out early (one of my Top 10 favourites of the ATP Tour) but at least it was Nishikori who I'm liking a lot these days. Ferrer got to the semis last year so I wouldn't cut him out but before the semis he had a poor record in the US so anything could happen but I don't think anyone in his part of the draw will cause too much of a trouble for him. With this draw Murray could really capitalize. Firstly this is Murray's breakout year winning his first Masters and jumping to 6th in the rankings, secondly he has got the easiest opponent out of the Top 4 in his quarters and thirdly he doesn't have to go through a vast amount of tough players before he could get to the semis. All in all if Murray is on form we may see him in the Semis. But what I have to say is - does he have what it takes to beat Nadal? Personally I'd say No. Nadal has the game that beats Murray in nearly every way possible, it isn't really how good of a player Nadal is on Hard courts but how much he dominates Murray's game. I think Murray would have to pull off a huge shock to beat Nadal. Sadly Feliciano Lopez lost in the first round so my hopes will be on Murray here, but wait a sec I nearly forgot Youzhny who got into the semis in 2006. Well this year has definitely not been a good one for him compared to the last so he is a dark horse to get to the quarters.
The third quarters see Roddick and Djokovic pulled into one draw, possibly the most exciting one. Roddick would have rested a lot so he should be fresh, hopefully he could emulate the success he had at the start of the year. If he is in form I really don't see any possible upsets. The next section sees the quickly falling Robredo and one of my favourite players Safin. Though both don't seem to be a threat here. Tsonga is also on this section - amazing isn't it that it seems like such a short time since Tsonga did what he did in the Australian Open and subsequently died out of any contention whatsoever in any other competition! Personally nobody should really threat Djokovic or Roddick so I'm waiting to watch this match (though I do hope Safin does well here).
Davydenko and Federer round off the draws, Davydenko has been a semifinalist here for two years but I think he doesn't have enough to beat Federer, however good he is on hard courts. Besides those two I will also be looking to watch out for Tursunov and Gasquet (who will be playing another one of my favourites Tommy Haas). But besides that I'll see what happens before I make any judgement on possible winners, but Djokovic to win!

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